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Eurasia Group : ウィキペディア英語版
Eurasia Group

Eurasia Group is the world's largest political risk consultancy. Founded in 1998, it has offices in New York City, Washington, D.C., London, and Tokyo and employs more than 150 full-time employees.〔(2020 Visionaries )〕〔(Here's How the World Works )〕 The company also employs a network of 500 experts in 90 countries in Asia, Latin America, Europe and Eurasia, and the Middle East and Africa—a profile ''The Economist'' magazine calls "an inspiration for any academic with a seemingly useless degree in political science".〔(Political-risk analysis: The new bull market ) Economist.com
Eurasia Group is generally recognized to be the first to systematically bring political science as a discipline to Wall Street.〔(Countryrisk.com Reviews: Eurasia Group )〕 This approach includes the Eurasia Group Global Political Risk Index (GPRI)—the first qualitative comparative political and economic risk index designed specifically to measure stability in emerging markets. Developed over a ten-year period by experts in transitional politics and economics, the methodology provides an "early warning" system which helps anticipate critical trends and provides a measure for country capacity to withstand political, economic, security, and social shocks.〔(Assessing the Predictive Powers of Country Risk Ratings and Governance Indicators )〕
Eurasia Group services include analytic research publications and tailored consulting and advisory services, as well as direct access to Eurasia Group analysts, on political trends and their impact on business, financial markets and the foreign investment climate. Eurasia Group's clients include major investment banks, institutional investors, government agencies, and multinational corporations in numerous sectors.
==Top 10 Risks==

In January every year, Eurasia Group announces the Top 10 Risks for the coming year, along with notable red herrings (issues of general concern it does not think are substantial risks).〔(Eurasia Group's President Ian Bremmer and Head of Research David Gordon announce Top Risks and Red Herrings for 2010 )〕 Eurasia Group keeps the Top 10 Risks posted on its website for the remainder of the year.
In January 2011, Eurasia Group's top risk was the G-Zero world, where "the world's major powers set aside aspirations for global leadership—alone, coordinated, or otherwise—and look primarily inward for their policy priorities. Key institutions that provide global governance become arenas not for collaboration but for confrontation".〔(Eurasia Group Top 10 Risks 2011 )〕 In a G-Zero world, "The U.S. lacks the resources to continue as primary provider of public goods, and rising powers are too preoccupied with problems at home to welcome the burdens that come with international leadership".〔(Eurasia Group warns of global tension in 'era of G-Zero' )〕
In January 2012, Eurasia Group announced that the "end of the 911 era" was its top risk for the year. The report described a "world where politics and economics overlap almost entirely," and where investors will become increasingly risk-averse and the baseline of risk becomes exaggerated. Other top 10 risks included (in order), "G-Zero and the Middle East," "Eurozone," "US, "North Korea, "Pakistan," "China," "Egypt," "South Africa," and "Venezuela."〔(Eurasia Group Top 10 Risks 2013 Eurasia Group Top 10 Risks 2012 )〕
In January 2013, Eurasia Group announced that "the era of emerging market abundance is finished," and listed volatility in emerging markets as the year's top risk. The report breaks down emerging markets into those "becoming developed," "still emerging--and problematically so," and "backsliding," and outlined the downside risk of markets in each category. Also listed in the report as top risks were (in order) "China v. information," "Arab summer," "Washington Politics," "JIBs - Japan, Israel and Britain," "Europe," "East Asian geopolitics," "Iran," "India," and "South Africa."〔(Eurasia Group Top 10 Risks 2013 )〕

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